Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 41.15% | 24.98% | 33.86% |
| Both teams to score 57.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.99% | 46.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.69% | 68.31% |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.7% | 22.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.24% | 55.76% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.78% | 26.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.69% | 61.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 2-1 @ 8.81% 1-0 @ 8.77% 2-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 4.41% 3-0 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.34% Total : 41.15% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 5.84% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.98% | 1-2 @ 7.86% 0-1 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 5.24% 1-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.28% Total : 33.86% |