Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Yeovil Town |
| 38.57% ( | 26.34% ( | 35.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.3% ( | 51.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.52% ( | 73.47% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.81% ( | 26.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.73% ( | 61.27% ( |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.79% ( | 28.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.09% ( | 63.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Yeovil Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.9% ( 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 2-0 @ 6.63% ( 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 4-0 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.57% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0-0 @ 7.39% ( 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 1-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.09% |