National League Gameweek 18
Nov 16, 2024 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT The New Lawn
  • Charlie McCann 20' yellowcard
  • Sean Long 53' yellowcard
  • Harvey Bunker 64' goal
  • Harvey Bunker 69' yellowcard
  • Kyle McAllister 83' goal
  • yellowcard Ricky Aguiar 82'

Forest Green Rovers vs York City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
Maidenhead 1 - 4 Forest Green
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Christian Doidge

York City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 9, 2024 12.30pm
York City 5 - 3 Hartlepool
Goals scored
95
Top scorer
Ollie Pearce

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for York City had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.

Result

Forest Green Rovers 44.55% (-0.11)
Draw 25.21% (+0.01)
York City 30.24% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.11% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.74% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 48.26% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 29.59% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 70.41% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 14.39% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 85.61% (-0.03)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 78.34% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 21.66% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 45.2% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 54.8% (+0.05)

York City Goals

Over 0.5 70.35% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 29.65% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 34.3% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 65.7% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Forest Green Rovers 44.55%
Draw 25.21%
York City 30.24%
Forest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.83% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.83% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 44.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.55% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.21%
York City
0-1 @ 7.81% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.26% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.75% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.94% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 30.24%

Head to Head

National League
Apr 29, 2017 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jon Parkin 33' goal
  • Jon Parkin 49' goal
  • Sam Muggleton 55' yellowcard
  • Sean Newton 71' yellowcard
  • goal Omar Bugiel 6'
  • goal Omar Bugiel 35'
  • yellowcard Dale Bennett 64'
National League
Aug 20, 2016 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Rhys Murphy 40' goal
  • Aarran Racine 53' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Chemlal 71' yellowcard
  • Matt Tubbs 95' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Clappison 18'
  • goal Richard Brodie 20'
  • yellowcard Richard Brodie 26'
  • yellowcard Jake Wright 54'
  • yellowcard Simon Heslop 69'
  • redcard Simon Heslop 73'
  • yellowcard Matthew Dixon 93'
  • yellowcard Clovis Kamdjo 96'