National League | Gameweek 18

Nov 16, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
2 - 0
York City

Bunker (64'), McAllister (83')
McCann (20'), Long (53'), Bunker (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Aguiar (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Forest Green Rovers and York City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Maidenhead 1-4 Forest Green
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

York City

All competitions

National League

Last Game: York City 5-3 Hartlepool
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for York City had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	York City
44.55% ( -0.1)	25.21% ( 0)	30.24% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 55.11% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.74% (

0.04)

48.26% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.59% (

0.03)

70.41% (

-0.04)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.34% (

-0.03)

21.66% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.2% (

-0.05)

54.8% (

0.05)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.35% (

0.09)

29.65% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.3% (

0.11)

65.7% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 44.55%

York City 30.24%

Draw 25.21%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	York City
1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.55%	1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.21%	0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 30.24%