National League Gameweek 15
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT The New Lawn
  • Kyle McAllister 7' goal
  • Jamie Robson 47' goal
  • Tom Knowles 52' goal
  • Tom Knowles 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pape Souare 19'
  • goal Wesley Fonguck 71'

Forest Green Rovers vs Ebbsfleet - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
Forest Green 2 - 1 Braintree
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Christian Doidge

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
Last game
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
York City 4 - 0 Ebbsfleet
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Aaron Cosgrove

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 61.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 17.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.

Result

Forest Green Rovers 61.07% (+4.59)
Draw 21.61% (-1.40)
Ebbsfleet 17.32% (-3.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.35% (-1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.2% (+1.31)
Under 2.5 45.79% (-1.31)
Over 3.5 31.89% (+1.23)
Under 3.5 68.11% (-1.23)
Over 4.5 16% (+0.87)
Under 4.5 84% (-0.87)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 85.49% (+1.97)
Under 0.5 14.51% (-1.97)
Over 1.5 57.49% (+3.66)
Under 1.5 42.51% (-3.66)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5 60.07% (-2.77)
Under 0.5 39.93% (+2.77)
Over 1.5 23.41% (-2.64)
Under 1.5 76.59% (+2.64)

Score analysis

Forest Green Rovers 61.06%
Draw 21.6%
Ebbsfleet 17.32%
Forest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 11.18% (+0.16)
2-0 @ 10.79% (+0.84)
2-1 @ 9.91% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 6.95% (+0.96)
3-1 @ 6.38% (+0.46)
4-0 @ 3.35% (+0.66)
4-1 @ 3.08% (+0.41)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% (+0.10)
5-0 @ 1.3% (-96.11)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-95.22)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 61.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.26% (-0.67)
0-0 @ 5.79% (-0.33)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.33)
Other @ 1%
Total : 21.6%
Ebbsfleet
0-1 @ 5.32% (-0.75)
1-2 @ 4.71% (-0.70)
0-2 @ 2.44% (-0.56)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.35)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.22)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 17.32%