National League | Gameweek 15

Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
3 - 1
Ebbsfleet

McAllister (7'), Robson (47'), Knowles (52')
Knowles (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fonguck (71')
Souare (19')

Coverage of the National League clash between Forest Green Rovers and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Forest Green 2-1 Braintree
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

National League

Last Game: York City 4-0 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 61.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 17.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Ebbsfleet
61.07% ( 4.58)	21.61% ( -1.4)	17.32% ( -3.18)

Both teams to score 51.35% (

-1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.2% (

1.31)

45.79% (

-1.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.89% (

1.23)

68.11% (

-1.22)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.49% (

1.96)

14.51% (

-1.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.49% (

3.66)

42.51% (

-3.66)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.07% (

-2.76)

39.93% (

2.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.41% (

-2.63)

76.59% (

2.64)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 61.06%

Ebbsfleet 17.32%

Draw 21.6%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Ebbsfleet
1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.83) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.96) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.45) 4-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.65) 4-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.41) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.32) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.23) Other @ 2.6% Total : 61.06%	1-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.66) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.33) Other @ 1% Total : 21.6%	0-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.74) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.7) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.56) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.02% Total : 17.32%