FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying

Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
2 - 0
Weymouth

McCann (40', 90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Forest Green Rovers and Weymouth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Eastleigh 1-3 Forest Green
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Weymouth

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Enfield Town 1-0 Weymouth
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 56.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Weymouth win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Weymouth
56.11% ( -0.01)	22.52% ( 0)	21.36% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.36% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.09% (

43.91% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.7% (

66.3% (

-0)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.52% (

-0)

15.48% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.64% (

-0)

44.36% (

Weymouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.49% (

0.01)

34.51% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.78% (

0.01)

71.22% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 56.11%

Weymouth 21.36%

Draw 22.52%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Weymouth
1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.89% 2-0 @ 9.3% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.15% 3-0 @ 5.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.7% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 1.07% 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 56.11%	1-1 @ 10.6% 0-0 @ 5.34% 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.52%	0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.08% Total : 21.36%