FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Denplan City Ground
Weymouth

Winchester City
2 - 2
Weymouth

Barron (45+4'), Wright (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pollock (79'), Touray (84')
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Winchester City and Weymouth.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Hungerford 0-1 Winchester City
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Worthing
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Winchester City had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Winchester City win was 1-0 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Winchester CityDrawWeymouth
24.92% (0.0040000000000013 0)23.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)51.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 55.36% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)46.01% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.69% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)68.32% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Winchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.5% (0.0010000000000048 0)32.5% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.97% (0.0019999999999989 0)69.03%
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.01% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)17.99% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.16% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)48.84% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Winchester City 24.92%
    Weymouth 51.21%
    Draw 23.87%
Winchester CityDrawWeymouth
1-0 @ 6.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 6.33%
2-0 @ 3.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.04%
3-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 24.92%
1-1 @ 11.27%
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.87%
0-1 @ 10.02%
1-2 @ 9.67% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 8.6%
1-3 @ 5.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 4.92%
2-3 @ 3.11%
1-4 @ 2.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 51.21%