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FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying Replays
Sep 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Bulpit Lane

Hungerford
0 - 1
Winchester City

FT(HT: 0-0)
Hill (90+1')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying Replays clash between Hungerford Town and Winchester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hungerford Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Winchester City 1-1 Hungerford
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup

Winchester City

All competitions
Last Game: Winchester City 1-1 Hungerford
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungerford Town win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Winchester City had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungerford Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Winchester City win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Hungerford TownDrawWinchester City
41.23% (-0.987 -0.99)24.45% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)34.32% (0.976 0.98)
Both teams to score 59.33% (0.247 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.54% (0.204 0.2)43.46% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.15% (0.198 0.2)65.85% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)
Hungerford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (-0.372 -0.37)21.16% (0.366 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97% (-0.577 -0.58)54.03% (0.574 0.57)
Winchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26% (0.663 0.66)24.74% (-0.666 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.7% (0.92 0.92)59.29% (-0.923 -0.92)
Score Analysis
    Hungerford Town 41.23%
    Winchester City 34.32%
    Draw 24.45%
Hungerford TownDrawWinchester City
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-0 @ 8.13% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.31% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 41.23%
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.16% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.24% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.45%
1-2 @ 7.93% (0.143 0.14)
0-1 @ 7.31% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.11% (0.148 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.69% (0.136 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.074 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.113 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.071 0.07)
2-4 @ 1% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.32%

Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Second Round Qualifying
Winchester City
1-1
Hungerford
Jones (44')
Harding (38')