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FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Denplan City Ground

Winchester City
1 - 1
Hungerford

Jones (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Harding (38')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Winchester City and Hungerford Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Winchester City

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Last Game: Tavistock 0-1 Winchester City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Hungerford Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Hungerford 1-0 Yate Town
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungerford Town win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Winchester City had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungerford Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.48%) and 0-2 (5.39%). The likeliest Winchester City win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Winchester CityDrawHungerford Town
36.67% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)23.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)40.1% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 64.37% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.93% (0.0020000000000024 0)37.07% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.73% (0.0019999999999953 0)59.26% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Winchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.44% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)20.56% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.91% (0.0020000000000024 0)53.09% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Hungerford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.03%18.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.51% (0.0020000000000024 0)50.49% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Winchester City 36.67%
    Hungerford Town 40.1%
    Draw 23.22%
Winchester CityDrawHungerford Town
2-1 @ 8.11%
1-0 @ 6.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.28%
3-2 @ 3.56%
3-0 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-2 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3%
Total : 36.67%
1-1 @ 10.25%
2-2 @ 6.74%
0-0 @ 3.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 8.53%
0-1 @ 6.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.39%
1-3 @ 4.73%
2-3 @ 3.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.99%
1-4 @ 1.96%
2-4 @ 1.55%
0-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 40.1%