Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 46.22% ( | 24.12% ( | 29.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.29% ( | 43.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.9% ( | 66.1% ( |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.93% ( | 19.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.32% ( | 50.67% ( |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.25% ( | 27.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.67% ( | 63.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 1-0 @ 8.77% ( 2-0 @ 7.27% ( 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 3-0 @ 4.01% ( 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 4-2 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 3.26% Total : 46.22% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 3-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0-1 @ 6.79% ( 0-2 @ 4.35% ( 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 1-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 29.66% |