San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.