Major League Soccer

Feb 23, 2025 at 3.30am UK

Earthquakes Stadium

Earthquakes
4 - 0
Salt Lake

Ricketts (28', 28'), Rodrigues (70', 70'), Bouda (74', 74'), Costa (83', 83')
Espinoza (73'), Espinoza (73'), Harkes (81'), Harkes (81'), Kaye (87'), Kaye (87'), Brito (90+4'), Brito (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Katranis (54'), Katranis (54'), Luna (90+3'), Luna (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Herediano 0-0 Salt Lake
Wednesday, February 19 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Real Salt Lake
41.06% ( 0.35)	24.25% ( -0.05)	34.69% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 60.15% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.58% (

0.17)

42.42% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.17% (

0.17)

64.82% (

-0.17)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.2% (

0.23)

20.8% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.54% (

0.37)

53.46% (

-0.37)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.95% (

-0.09)

24.04% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.68% (

-0.13)

58.31% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 41.06%

Real Salt Lake 34.69%

Draw 24.25%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.85% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.79% Total : 41.06%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.25%	1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.69%