Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 20.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Minnesota United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Minnesota United.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 58.73% ( | 21.02% ( | 20.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.79% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.45% ( | 38.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.15% ( | 60.85% ( |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.13% ( | 12.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.73% ( | 39.27% ( |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.48% ( | 32.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.95% ( | 69.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 2-0 @ 8.8% ( 1-0 @ 8.58% ( 3-1 @ 6.75% ( 3-0 @ 6.01% ( 3-2 @ 3.79% ( 4-1 @ 3.46% ( 4-0 @ 3.08% ( 4-2 @ 1.94% ( 5-1 @ 1.42% ( 5-0 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 3.75% Total : 58.73% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0-0 @ 4.19% ( 3-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.02% | 1-2 @ 5.41% ( 0-1 @ 4.7% ( 0-2 @ 2.64% ( 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 20.25% |