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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Mar 2, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Field
Montreal Impact

Minnesota Utd
1 - 0
Montreal

Yeboah (69', 69')
Oluwaseyi (49'), Oluwaseyi (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Jabang (43'), Jabang (43'), Marshall-Rutty (67'), Marshall-Rutty (67'), Marshall-Rutty (67'), Marshall-Rutty (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 1-0 Minnesota Utd
Saturday, February 22 at 9.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 3-2 Montreal
Sunday, February 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 20.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Minnesota United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Minnesota United.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawCF Montreal
58.73% (0.384 0.38)21.02% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)20.25% (-0.318 -0.32)
Both teams to score 58.79% (-0.331 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.45% (-0.19 -0.19)38.55% (0.197 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.15% (-0.203 -0.2)60.85% (0.208 0.21)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.13% (0.054000000000002 0.05)12.87% (-0.048 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.73% (0.105 0.1)39.27% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.48% (-0.417 -0.42)32.52% (0.42400000000001 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.95% (-0.471 -0.47)69.05% (0.48 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 58.73%
    CF Montreal 20.25%
    Draw 21.02%
Minnesota UnitedDrawCF Montreal
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.8% (0.114 0.11)
1-0 @ 8.58% (0.096 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.75% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.01% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.46% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.08% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.26% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 58.73%
1-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.19% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.02%
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-1 @ 4.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.64% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.045 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 20.25%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Montreal

Minnesota United
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
CF Montreal
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2023 12.30am
Montreal
4-0
Minnesota Utd
Toye (7', 57'), Brault-Guillard (13'), Camacho (76')
Saliba (16'), Lassiter (69'), Camacho (79'), Corbo (90+3'), Choiniere (90')

Heath (17'), Taylor (47'), Boxall (59')
Mar 21, 2020 7pm
Jul 7, 2019 12.30am
Montreal
2-3
Minnesota Utd
Jackson-Hamel (1'), Camacho (13')
Bush (45')
Toye (9', 47'), Finlay (45' pen.)
May 27, 2018 1am
Gameweek 15
Minnesota Utd
2-0
Montreal
Ramirez (52'), Ibarra (58')
Gomez (20'), Calvo (44')

Edwards (20')
Sep 17, 2017 12.30am
Montreal
2-3
Minnesota Utd
Bernier (9'), Dzemaili (55')
Dzemaili (53'), Piette (62'), Cabrera (90')
Molino (20' pen.), Ramirez (60'), Danladi (89')
Martin (2')