Major League Soccer

Mar 2, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Children's Mercy Park

Kansas
1 - 2
Earthquakes

Joveljic (27' pen., 27' pen.)
Leibold (5'), Leibold (5'), Bartlett (16'), Bartlett (16'), Davis (45'), Davis (45'), Radoja (67'), Radoja (67'), Radoja (67'), Radoja (67')

FT(HT: 2-4)

Arango (3', 3'), Martinez (19', 19')
Lopez (45+5'), Lopez (45+5')
Lopez (52'), Lopez (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Kansas
Wednesday, February 26 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 4-0 Salt Lake
Sunday, February 23 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 54.95%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 23.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.54%) and 1-0 (7.4%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for San Jose Earthquakes in this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
54.95% ( -0.13)	21.35% ( 0.03)	23.7% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 62.75% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.37% (

-0)

35.63% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.31% (

-0)

57.69% (

0.01)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.96% (

-0.04)

13.04% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.4% (

-0.08)

39.6% (

0.09)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.15% (

0.08)

27.85% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.55% (

0.1)

63.45% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 54.95%

San Jose Earthquakes 23.7%

Draw 21.35%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.18% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 54.95%	1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.63% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.35%	1-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.58% Total : 23.7%