Major League Soccer

Feb 23, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Al Saqr Stadium

Austin
1 - 0
Kansas

Bukari (76', 76')
Desler (36'), Desler (36'), Sanchez (58'), Sanchez (58'), Vazquez (62'), Vazquez (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Thommy (35'), Thommy (35'), Radoja (59'), Radoja (59'), Joveljic (85'), Joveljic (85'), Davis (90+3'), Davis (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 3-2 Colorado
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Kansas 0-1 Inter Miami
Thursday, February 20 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 21.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
55.82% ( -0.24)	22.41% ( 0.1)	21.77% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 56.34% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.11% (

-0.26)

42.89% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.71% (

-0.26)

65.29% (

0.26)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.77% (

-0.17)

15.22% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.12% (

-0.32)

43.88% (

0.32)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.45% (

-0.02)

33.54% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.81% (

-0.02)

70.18% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 55.82%

Sporting Kansas City 21.77%

Draw 22.4%

Austin FC	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 55.82%	1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.4%	1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 21.77%