Major League Soccer

Oct 20, 2024 at 2am UK

Minato Soccer Stadium

Dallas
2 - 1
Kansas

Musa (16', 16'), Fernandez (40' og., 40' og.)
Musa (53'), Musa (53')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Agade (89', 89')
Leibold (28'), Leibold (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 0-0 Dallas
Monday, October 7 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Kansas 0-3 Los Angeles
Sunday, October 6 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dallas in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Dallas.

Result
Dallas	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
51.12% ( -0.59)	22.63% ( 0.13)	26.25% ( 0.46)

Both teams to score 60.98% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.81% (

-0.22)

39.18% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.48% (

-0.23)

61.51% (

0.23)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.49% (

-0.28)

15.5% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.59% (

-0.53)

44.4% (

0.53)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.17% (

0.22)

27.82% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.57% (

0.28)

63.42% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Dallas 51.12%

Sporting Kansas City 26.25%

Draw 22.62%

Dallas	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.81% Total : 51.12%	1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.62%	1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.7% Total : 26.25%