| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Lyon | 37 | 14 | 58 |
| 9 | Nantes | 37 | 7 | 54 |
| 10 | Lille | 37 | 0 | 54 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Reims | 37 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSC | 37 | -10 | 43 |
| 14 | Angers | 37 | -13 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 53.84% | 24.41% | 21.75% |
| Both teams to score 49.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.63% | 51.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.81% | 73.19% |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.98% | 19.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.42% | 50.57% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.66% | 38.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.9% | 75.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 12.1% 2-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 5.56% 3-1 @ 5.33% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-0 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.04% Total : 53.83% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 7.29% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 6.99% 1-2 @ 5.56% 0-2 @ 3.35% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.48% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.53% Total : 21.75% |