La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 33

Apr 28, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal
3 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Sorloth (18', 74'), Mosquera (69')
Coquelin (77'), Albiol (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ciss (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Almeria 1-2 Villarreal
Sunday, April 21 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Osasuna
Saturday, April 20 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Rayo Vallecano

Villarreal's recent form has been impressive, and the Yellow Submarine still have an outside chance of claiming a European spot this season. Rayo will be in a confident mood heading into the contest, and we are backing the visitors to score, but Villarreal should be able to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
51.39% ( 0.26)	24.18% ( -0.11)	24.43% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 53.83% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.21% (

0.35)

47.79% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.02% (

0.32)

69.98% (

-0.32)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.41% (

0.23)

18.59% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.12% (

0.39)

49.87% (

-0.4)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.12% (

0.06)

33.88% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.45% (

0.07)

70.55% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 51.38%

Rayo Vallecano 24.43%

Draw 24.18%

Villarreal	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.28% Total : 51.38%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.18%	0-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 24.43%