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VfL Bochum
Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
Leipzig logo

VfL Bochum
1 - 4
RB Leipzig

Wittek (7')
Broschinski (38'), Loosli (66'), Ordets (77')
Kwarteng (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Olmo (30'), Openda (68'), Ordets (71' og.), Poulsen (72')
Haidara (45+3'), Simakan (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 5-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 2-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 24 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: VfL Bochum 2-3 RB Leipzig

Leipzig's form has not been ideal in 2024, with just seven points to show for their efforts in the past seven games, but the signs have been there that they can put a good run together. Everything came tumbling down for Bochum last week as they conceded five to an out-of-form Gladbach side, and while goals are likely in this one, another defeat for the hosts is too. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.98%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
VfL BochumDrawRB Leipzig
27.86% (-0.818 -0.82) 22.15% (-0.243 -0.24) 49.99% (1.062 1.06)
Both teams to score 64.2% (0.237 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.41% (0.59 0.59)35.59% (-0.589 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.36% (0.649 0.65)57.64% (-0.648 -0.65)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)24.84% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.57% (-0.323 -0.32)59.43% (0.32400000000001 0.32)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.41% (0.57600000000001 0.58)14.59% (-0.576 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.33% (1.099 1.1)42.67% (-1.099 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 27.86%
    RB Leipzig 49.99%
    Draw 22.15%
VfL BochumDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.77% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-0 @ 5.05% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-0 @ 3.52% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.63% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 27.86%
1-1 @ 9.72% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.62% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.94% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.15%
1-2 @ 9.35% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.98% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 6.71% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 6% (0.147 0.15)
0-3 @ 4.31% (0.134 0.13)
2-3 @ 4.18% (0.075 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.89% (0.128 0.13)
0-4 @ 2.07% (0.105 0.11)
2-4 @ 2.01% (0.076 0.08)
1-5 @ 1.11% (0.07 0.07)
3-4 @ 0.93% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 49.99%

How you voted: VfL Bochum vs RB Leipzig

VfL Bochum
23.2%
Draw
10.7%
RB Leipzig
66.1%
56
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
RB Leipzig
0-0
VfL Bochum
Baumgartner (47'), Simons (69')
Osterhage (42'), Ordets (55'), Stoger (60'), Schlotterbeck (87')
Mar 18, 2023 2.30pm
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
RB Leipzig
4-0
VfL Bochum
Werner (15', 53'), Nkunku (23' pen., 85')
Feb 27, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
VfL Bochum
0-1
RB Leipzig

Gamboa (87')
Nkunku (82')
Simakan (70')
Oct 2, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
RB Leipzig
3-0
VfL Bochum
Silva (69'), Nkunku (73', 78')
Angelino (58')

Tesche (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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