Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37

May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadium Municipal

Toulouse
1 - 1
Auxerre

Aboukhlal (44')
Spierings (71')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Raveloson (24')
Jubal (2'), Massengo (18'), Abline (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 0-0 Toulouse
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Auxerre 1-2 PSG
Sunday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

In spite of their recent attacking failures, Toulouse's build-up play will be boosted greatly by the expected return of Van den Boomen, and Auxerre are not exactly the masters of keeping things tight at the back against the Coupe de France holders. Pelissier's side have rarely been blown away in 2023, though, and victory could secure survival for the visitors if results elsewhere go in their favour, but we cannot see any surprises being sprung against a sturdy Toulouse backline as the fight for survival goes right down to the wire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Auxerre
50.29% ( -0.24)	24.58% ( -0.03)	25.13% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 53.27% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.13% (

0.33)

48.86% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.04% (

0.3)

70.96% (

-0.3)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.55% (

0.03)

19.44% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.71% (

0.05)

51.29% (

-0.05)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.13% (

0.4)

33.86% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.46% (

0.43)

70.53% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 50.29%

Auxerre 25.13%

Draw 24.57%

Toulouse	Draw	Auxerre
1-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.99% Total : 50.29%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.57%	0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.28% Total : 25.13%