Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 10

Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Smisa Stadium

St Mirren
4 - 0
St Johnstone

Baccus (36'), Mandron (48', 70'), Kiltie (90')
O'Hara (32'), Baccus (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: St Mirren 0-3 Rangers
Sunday, October 8 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

St Johnstone

All competitions

Last Game: Aberdeen 0-0 St Johnstone
Sunday, October 8 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: St Mirren 2-0 St Johnstone

St Mirren have been in a difficult patch of form as of late, but they will likely see playing the team at the bottom of the league as the perfect way to change that. St Johnstone's struggles in front of goal will likely be their downfall once again, which could lead to the hosts taking all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	St Johnstone
42.55% ( 0.11)	26.65% ( -0.11)	30.8% ( 0)

Both teams to score 50.8% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.03% (

0.42)

53.97% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.59% (

0.35)

75.41% (

-0.35)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.9% (

0.25)

25.11% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.2% (

0.34)

59.8% (

-0.34)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.83% (

0.22)

32.17% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.34% (

0.25)

68.66% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

St Mirren 42.55%

St Johnstone 30.8%

Draw 26.65%

St Mirren	Draw	St Johnstone
1-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.55%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.71% Total : 30.8%