Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Sevilla |
49.89% ( 1.26) | 24.2% ( -0.25) | 25.91% ( -1) |
Both teams to score 55.25% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.39% ( 0.34) | 46.61% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.12% ( 0.32) | 68.88% ( -0.32) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.27% ( 0.64) | 18.73% ( -0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.9% ( 1.06) | 50.1% ( -1.06) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.99% ( -0.61) | 32.01% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.52% ( -0.7) | 68.48% ( 0.7) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.28% Total : 49.89% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.65% Total : 25.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |