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La Liga | Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Reale Arena
Athletic Bilbao logo

Real Sociedad
3 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Le Normand (30'), Kubo (48'), Oyarzabal (66')
Merino (44'), Zubeldia (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Herrera (29'), Vivian (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 0-1 Real Sociedad
Wednesday, September 27 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-2 Getafe
Wednesday, September 27 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Real Sociedad 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, with both sides in strong form in the early stages of the season. It would not be a surprise to see a winner here either way, but we just have a feeling that the two teams will share the points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAthletic Bilbao
34.83% (0.675 0.68) 28.22% (0.138 0.14) 36.95% (-0.812 -0.81)
Both teams to score 47.11% (-0.34 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.92% (-0.45 -0.45)59.08% (0.451 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.47% (-0.349 -0.35)79.53% (0.34999999999999 0.35)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96% (0.215 0.22)32.04% (-0.215 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5% (0.245 0.24)68.5% (-0.244 -0.24)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.32% (-0.72 -0.72)30.68% (0.721 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.07% (-0.859 -0.86)66.93% (0.86000000000001 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 34.82%
    Athletic Bilbao 36.95%
    Draw 28.21%
Real SociedadDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.18% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 7.52% (0.067 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.181 0.18)
3-1 @ 2.86% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.42% (0.082 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.82%
1-1 @ 13.21% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.83% (0.166 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.21%
0-1 @ 11.61% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.81% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.86% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.7% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 36.95%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao

Real Sociedad
47.9%
Draw
39.4%
Athletic Bilbao
12.7%
71
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3.15pm
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Real Sociedad
3-1
Athletic Bilbao
Sorloth (25'), Kubo (37'), Oyarzabal (62' pen.)
Sancet (40')
Feb 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 25
Athletic Bilbao
4-0
Real Sociedad
Vivian (68'), Sancet (72'), Williams (80'), Muniain (89')
Garcia (5'), Martinez (37'), Garcia (55'), Berenguer (90+4')

Silva (30')
Oct 31, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 12
Real Sociedad
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Isak (58' pen.)
Isak (71'), Januzaj (74'), Merino (78'), Guevara (90+3')
Muniain (90+1')
Martinez (56'), de Marcos (59')
Martinez (84')
Apr 7, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 29
Real Sociedad
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Lopez (89')
Munoz (12'), Zubeldia (38'), Zubimendi (84')
Villalibre (85')
Garcia (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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