La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 5, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 2
Sevilla

Isi (29')
Crespo (90+2'), Dimitrievski (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-2)

En-Nesyri (19', 45')
Romero (36'), Acuna (45+5'), Mejbri (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, January 31 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Osasuna
Sunday, January 28 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Sevilla

Sevilla have struggled on their travels this season, but Rayo have won just one of their 10 league games in front of their own supporters. Three of the last four La Liga games between these two sides have finished level, meanwhile, and we are expecting the points to be shared once again on Monday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Sevilla
39.24% ( 0.63)	26.75% ( 0.12)	34.01% ( -0.75)

Both teams to score 51.49% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.47% (

-0.58)

53.53% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.95% (

-0.49)

75.04% (

0.49)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.33% (

0.08)

26.66% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.08% (

0.11)

61.91% (

-0.11)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.22% (

-0.76)

29.77% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.15% (

-0.93)

65.85% (

0.92)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 39.23%

Sevilla 34.01%

Draw 26.74%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 39.23%	1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.4% Total : 34.01%