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Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
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Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
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Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Montpellier

Lorient
0 - 3
Montpellier


Ponceau (20'), Talbi (33')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adams (30', 89'), Savanier (73' pen.)
Esteve (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 5-3 Lorient
Saturday, September 23 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Rennes
Sunday, September 24 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 2-2 Montpellier HSC

Both sides have been among the goals frequently this season, but letting in too many means they are both early relegation candidates. The two have been prone to drawing matches this season, and the same could well happen again, extending Montpellier's unbeaten run to 14 matches in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawMontpellier HSC
31.06% (-0.805 -0.81) 23.89% (-0.229 -0.23) 45.05% (1.034 1.03)
Both teams to score 60.07% (0.423 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.05% (0.72499999999999 0.72)41.94% (-0.72499999999999 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.65% (0.725 0.73)64.35% (-0.72500000000001 -0.73)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03% (-0.146 -0.15)25.97% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02% (-0.198 -0.2)60.98% (0.198 0.2)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.15% (0.73099999999999 0.73)18.85% (-0.73 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.69% (1.206 1.21)50.31% (-1.206 -1.21)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 31.06%
    Montpellier HSC 45.05%
    Draw 23.89%
LorientDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 7.43% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-0 @ 6.6% (-0.246 -0.25)
2-0 @ 4.45% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 2% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 31.06%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 6.19% (0.033 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 9.19% (0.087 0.09)
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.82% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 5.11% (0.164 0.16)
0-3 @ 3.79% (0.137 0.14)
2-3 @ 3.45% (0.096 0.1)
1-4 @ 2.13% (0.116 0.12)
0-4 @ 1.58% (0.092 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 45.05%

How you voted: Lorient vs Montpellier

Lorient
25.9%
Draw
39.7%
Montpellier HSC
34.5%
58
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 35
Montpellier
1-1
Lorient
Maouassa (90+4')
Faivre (68')
Dec 29, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 16
Lorient
0-2
Montpellier
Savanier (3'), Wahi (22')
Feb 20, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 25
Lorient
0-1
Montpellier

Laporte (31'), Innocent (47')
Savanier (56')
Oyongo (60'), Souquet (61')
Aug 22, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 3
Montpellier
3-1
Lorient
Savanier (50'), Mavididi (58'), Delort (83')
Bertaud (21' og.)
Lemoine (49'), Monconduit (67'), Mendes (84'), Hergault (87')
Mendes (86'), Hergault (90+1')
Mar 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 28
Montpellier
1-1
Lorient
Mavididi (28')
Ferri (61'), Mendes (70')
Grbic (9' pen.)
Lemoine (36'), Chalobah (63'), Gravillon (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco31177758411758
3Brest31168749331656
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens31137114034646
7Marseille31111194738944
8Lyon31135134251-944
9Rennes31119114841742
10Toulouse311010113840-240
11Reims31117133845-740
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier31911113943-437
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3199133444-1036
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Le HavreLe Havre31611143041-1129
16Metz3185183251-1929
17Lorient3168173761-2426
18Clermont31510162550-2525


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