MX23RW : Friday, April 26 11:25:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Mar 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Marseille

Lille
2 - 0
Marseille

David (90', 90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.03%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 25.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Marseille win it was 0-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawMarseille
46.03%28.03%25.93%
Both teams to score 44.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.86%61.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.9%81.09%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.39%26.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.16%61.84%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.08%39.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.42%76.57%
Score Analysis
    Lille 46.03%
    Marseille 25.93%
    Draw 28.03%
LilleDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 14.06%
2-0 @ 9.31%
2-1 @ 8.55%
3-0 @ 4.11%
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.36%
4-1 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 46.03%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 3.93%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 9.75%
1-2 @ 5.93%
0-2 @ 4.48%
1-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 25.93%

How you voted: Lille vs Marseille

Lille
75.0%
Draw
20.8%
Marseille
4.2%
72
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 4
Marseille
1-1
Lille
Germain (85')
Nagatomo (21'), Thauvin (58'), Gonzalez (65')
Araujo (47')
Andre (50'), Bradaric (58'), Sanches (80')
Feb 16, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 25
Lille
1-2
Marseille
Osimhen (51')
Mandava (66' og.), Benedetto (69')
Caleta-Car (9'), Amavi (30'), Benedetto (35'), Strootman (90'), Ake (90')
Nov 2, 2019 4.30pm
Gameweek 12
Marseille
2-1
Lille
Sanson (47'), Gabriel (79' og.)
Amavi (83')
Soumaoro (83')
Djalo (23'), Ikone (33'), Osimhen (83')
Jan 25, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Marseille
1-2
Lille
Balotelli (90')
Kamara (18'), Gustavo (45'), Strootman (45'), Radonjic (73'), Rolando (90')
Thauvin (67')
Pepe (45' pen., 90')
Soumaoro (50'), Leao (66'), Xeka (70')
Sep 30, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 8
Lille
3-0
Marseille
Pepe (65' pen.), Bamba (86' pen., 89')
Xeka (18')

Ocampos (17'), Mandanda (63'), Gustavo (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG30209173264769
2MonacoMonaco30177656381858
3Brest30158744291553
4Lille301410643261752
5Nice3013983324948
6Lens30137103932746
7Rennes30119104436842
8Marseille30101194537841
9Lyon30125133949-1041
10Reims30117123741-440
11Toulouse30910113639-337
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier30910113842-436
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3099123341-836
14NantesNantes3094172848-2031
15Metz3085173149-1829
16Le HavreLe Havre30610142738-1128
17Lorient3068163659-2326
18Clermont30410162149-2822


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!