Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 25

Feb 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Livingston

Watkins (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sangare (85'), George (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Livingston

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Rangers 3-0 Livingston
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Kilmarnock 2-0 Livingston

Kilmarnock earned a respectable point at Motherwell last time out, and with January arrival Van Veen set for his full debut, the hosts will be confident of easing past Livingston on Wednesday. The Lions will have more chances to impress in an attacking sense than they did at Ibrox on the weekend, nevertheless we feel that the end result will be the same at Rugby Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 66.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 13.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Livingston
66.54% ( -0.87)	19.76% ( 0.45)	13.7% ( 0.42)

Both teams to score 48.83% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.25% (

-1.05)

44.75% (

1.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.89% (

-1.02)

67.11% (

1.02)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.46% (

-0.55)

12.54% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.41% (

-1.16)

38.59% (

1.16)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.84% (

-0.01)

44.16% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.75% (

-0.01)

80.25% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 66.54%

Livingston 13.7%

Draw 19.76%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Livingston
2-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.12% Total : 66.54%	1-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 19.76%	0-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.34% Total : 13.7%