Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 17.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Atalanta BC |
60.09% ( -0.05) | 22.75% ( 0.04) | 17.16% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.52% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.23% ( -0.12) | 50.77% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.34% ( -0.11) | 72.66% ( 0.11) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.49% ( -0.06) | 16.51% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.75% ( -0.11) | 46.25% ( 0.11) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.92% ( -0.05) | 43.08% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.64% ( -0.04) | 79.36% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 12.81% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 60.08% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 22.74% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.54% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 17.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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