Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 28

Apr 7, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

PreZero Arena

Hoffenheim
3 - 1
Augsburg

Weghorst (17'), Kramaric (20'), Bebou (90')
Jurasek (41'), Kaderabek (51'), Weghorst (88')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Demirovic (61')
Tietz (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Augsburg 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, March 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hoffenheim 2-2 Augsburg

While Augsburg undoubtedly come into this match with the better recent record, it is difficult to overlook their current injury list, which features several players that would make the starting 11 most weeks. Hoffenheim will likely throw everything into this match, given their current run of results, and we feel they will be able to claim a share of the spoils here against the short-handed visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Augsburg
41.71% ( -0.57)	23.19% ( 0.52)	35.1% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 64.21% (

-2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.83% (

-2.61)

37.17% (

2.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.63% (

-2.87)

59.37% (

2.87)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.68% (

-1.31)

18.31% (

1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.6% (

-2.26)

49.4% (

2.26)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.6% (

-1.17)

21.4% (

1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.61% (

-1.83)

54.39% (

1.83)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 41.71%

Augsburg 35.1%

Draw 23.19%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Augsburg
2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.56) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.73% Total : 41.71%	1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.48) 3-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.19%	1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.54) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.1%