Not since April have Hoffenheim failed to score away from home in the Bundesliga, and the Blues have fond memories of their most recent trip to the Allianz Arena, although that may not count for much against Tuchel's well-oiled machine.
Focusing on the football may be a challenge for the hosts on Friday evening, but with Hoffenheim's previous ruthlessness now eluding them, the reigning champions should still emerge triumphant.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 71.15%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 13.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 3-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
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