La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 35

May 11, 2024 at 8pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 2
Osasuna

Williams (58'), Villalibre (90+6')
Berchiche (22'), Herrera (45+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Garcia (40'), Garcia (47')
Herrando (34'), Ibanez (55'), Catena (73'), Garcia (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Getafe 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Friday, May 3 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Osasuna

All competitions

Last Game: Osasuna 0-2 Betis
Sunday, May 5 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Osasuna

Both sides have selection issues ahead of this match, and it has the potential to be a very tricky match for Athletic, who will have a patched-up defence. The Basque outfit need to win to stay in the top-four race, though, and we are backing them to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 65.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 13.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Osasuna
65.44% ( -0.04)	21.12% ( 0.01)	13.44% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 44.01% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.1% (

0.03)

50.91% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.22% (

0.03)

72.78% (

-0.03)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.21%

14.8% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.93% (

-0)

43.07% (

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.65% (

0.07)

48.35% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.51% (

0.05)

83.49% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 65.44%

Osasuna 13.44%

Draw 21.12%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 13.67% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 13.06% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 65.44%	1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.12%	0-1 @ 5.2% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 13.44%