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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Montpellier

Monaco
2 - 0
Montpellier

Minamino (9'), Ben Yedder (90+2')
Vanderson (20'), Golovin (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Savanier (45'), Chotard (84'), Tchato (90')
Kouyate (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 5-2 Monaco
Friday, November 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Clermont
Wednesday, November 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 3-1 Montpellier HSC

Montpellier have had their struggles defensively away from home, conceding multiple goals in three of their domestic road fixtures this season. As poor as Les Monegasques were defensively last Friday, we expect their quality attacking players to take their frustrations out on La Paillade. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawMontpellier HSC
58.1% (0.882 0.88) 21.22% (-0.427 -0.43) 20.68% (-0.454 -0.45)
Both teams to score 58.8% (0.786 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.13% (1.365 1.37)38.86% (-1.364 -1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.82% (1.422 1.42)61.18% (-1.421 -1.42)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.84% (0.71499999999999 0.71)13.16% (-0.714 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.15% (1.428 1.43)39.85% (-1.428 -1.43)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (0.351 0.35)32.29% (-0.35100000000001 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (0.395 0.4)68.79% (-0.393 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 58.1%
    Montpellier HSC 20.68%
    Draw 21.22%
MonacoDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.74% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.327 -0.33)
3-1 @ 6.68% (0.165 0.17)
3-0 @ 5.91% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.128 0.13)
4-1 @ 3.39% (0.17 0.17)
4-0 @ 3% (0.123 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.114 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.37% (0.103 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 58.1%
1-1 @ 9.74% (-0.269 -0.27)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.25% (-0.279 -0.28)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.22%
1-2 @ 5.51% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-1 @ 4.8% (-0.267 -0.27)
0-2 @ 2.72% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 20.68%

How you voted: Monaco vs Montpellier

Monaco
90.9%
Draw
6.1%
Montpellier HSC
3.0%
33
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 33
Monaco
0-4
Montpellier
Nordin (28', 72'), Maouassa (65'), Mavididi (79')
Oct 9, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 10
Montpellier
0-2
Monaco
Embolo (45+1'), Boadu (80')
Jan 23, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 22
Montpellier
3-2
Monaco
Wahi (13'), Mavididi (32', 90+1')
Mavididi (90+1'), Sambia (90+1')
Ben Yedder (34'), Vanderson (82')
Henrique (10'), Aguilar (65')
Oct 24, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 11
Monaco
3-1
Montpellier
Volland (12'), Ben Yedder (17'), Martins (62')
Maripan (24')
Savanier (81' pen.)
Cozza (43'), Ristic (52'), Makouana (66'), Savanier (87')
Jan 15, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 20
Montpellier
2-3
Monaco
Wahi (64'), Delort (69')
Chotard (83'), Savanier (90')
Volland (24'), Ben Yedder (35', 61')
Fofana (17'), Aguilar (59'), Maripan (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco31177758411758
3Brest31168749331656
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens31137114034646
7Marseille31111194738944
8Lyon31135134251-944
9Rennes31119114841742
10Toulouse311010113840-240
11Reims31117133845-740
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier31911113943-437
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3199133444-1036
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Le HavreLe Havre31611143041-1129
16Metz3185183251-1929
17Lorient3168173761-2426
18Clermont31510162550-2525


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