Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Inter Milan in this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Inter Milan |
40.29% ( -0.31) | 25.7% ( 0.12) | 34.02% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 54.94% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.87% ( -0.5) | 49.13% ( 0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.8% ( -0.45) | 71.2% ( 0.45) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.9% ( -0.38) | 24.1% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.61% ( -0.55) | 58.39% ( 0.55) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.38% ( -0.12) | 27.62% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.84% ( -0.15) | 63.16% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.29% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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