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Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Morecambe
2 - 0
Cheltenham

Garner (66'), Angol (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Jude-Boyd (57'), Bakare (72')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and Cheltenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Swindon
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 2-0 Cheltenham
Friday, March 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawCheltenham Town
39.2% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)26.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)33.85% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.86% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)54.32% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)75.71% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.94% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)27.06% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.57% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)62.42% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.72%30.27% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.55%66.45% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 39.2%
    Cheltenham Town 33.85%
    Draw 26.93%
MorecambeDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.64% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 39.2%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 8.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.85% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 33.85%

Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 20
Cheltenham
2-0
Morecambe
Jude-Boyd (33'), Miller (74')
Thomas (26'), Bakare (64')

Macadam (64'), Williams (83')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 43
Morecambe
2-1
Cheltenham
Weir (20'), Phillips (47')
May (39')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Morecambe
1-3
Cheltenham
Leigh (52')
Sercombe (44'), Wright (46'), May (80')
Bonds (9')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Cheltenham
3-1
Morecambe
Sercombe (26'), Joseph (65', 68')
Phillips (38')
O'Connor (52'), Gnahoua (74')
rhs 2.0


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