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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 39.2% ( | 26.94% ( | 33.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.67% ( | 54.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.29% ( | 75.71% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.94% ( | 27.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.57% ( | 62.42% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.72% | 30.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.55% | 66.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 2-0 @ 7% ( 3-1 @ 3.64% ( 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 4-0 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 39.2% | 1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 2-2 @ 5% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0-2 @ 5.85% ( 1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.3% Total : 33.85% |