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Championship header 2

League Two

Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Swindon Town

Morecambe
1 - 0
Swindon

Angol (38')
White (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nichols (41')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 0-0 Accrington
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawSwindon Town
30.11% (-0.072999999999997 -0.07)25.16% (-0.214 -0.21)44.73% (0.293 0.29)
Both teams to score 55.21% (0.673 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.9% (0.898 0.9)48.1% (-0.892 -0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.74% (0.817 0.82)70.26% (-0.81099999999999 -0.81)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.34% (0.404 0.4)29.67% (-0.396 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.29% (0.486 0.49)65.71% (-0.48 -0.48)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49% (0.514 0.51)21.51% (-0.507 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.44% (0.78 0.78)54.57% (-0.773 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 30.11%
    Swindon Town 44.73%
    Draw 25.15%
MorecambeDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-1 @ 7.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.71% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.93% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 30.11%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.38% (-0.238 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.089 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 9.81% (-0.205 -0.21)
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.53% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.69% (0.094 0.09)
0-3 @ 3.86% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.088 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.8% (0.063 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.036 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 44.73%

Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 17
Swindon
2-3
Morecambe
Drinan (32'), Delaney (49')
Cox (88')
Stott (6'), Tollitt (14'), Hope (78')
Tutonda (11')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 46
Swindon
3-3
Morecambe
Austin (5', 35'), Kokolo (74')
McCarthy (46')
Adams (15'), Fairclough (21'), Smith (86')
> Preview
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Morecambe
2-2
Swindon
Taylor (31'), Walker (80')
Connolly (33'), Songo'o (54')
Songo'o (55')
Kemp (12'), Austin (57' pen.)
Khan (78'), Kemp (90+5')
Apr 13, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 44
Morecambe
P-P
Swindon
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 6
Swindon
3-1
Morecambe
Doyle (5', 21'), Yates (17')
Alessandra (13')