League Two

League Two | Gameweek 39

Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK

Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe
1 - 0
Swindon

Angol (38')
White (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nichols (41')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions

Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Swindon 0-0 Accrington
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Swindon Town
30.11% ( -0.07)	25.16% ( -0.21)	44.73% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 55.21% (

0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.9% (

0.9)

48.1% (

-0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.74% (

0.82)

70.26% (

-0.81)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.34% (

0.4)

29.67% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.29% (

0.49)

65.71% (

-0.48)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.49% (

0.51)

21.51% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.44% (

0.78)

54.57% (

-0.77)

Score Analysis

Morecambe 30.11%

Swindon Town 44.73%

Draw 25.15%

Morecambe	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 30.11%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.69% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.47% Total : 44.73%