Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.