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Championship header 2

League Two

Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Accrington Stanley

Swindon
0 - 0
Accrington


Smith (21'), Sobowale (33'), Ripley (57')
FT

Batty (39'), Mooney (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 3-3 Cheltenham
Saturday, March 15 at 12.30pm in League Two

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 1-1 Gillingham
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawAccrington Stanley
52.35% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)24.05% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)23.6% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 53.29% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.95% (0.0039999999999978 0)48.05% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.78% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)70.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.67% (0.0040000000000049 0)18.32% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)49.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.25%34.75% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.52% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)71.47% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 52.34%
    Accrington Stanley 23.6%
    Draw 24.05%
Swindon TownDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.8%
2-1 @ 9.69%
2-0 @ 9.17%
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 52.34%
1-1 @ 11.42%
0-0 @ 6.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.05%
0-1 @ 6.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.04%
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 23.6%

How you voted: Swindon vs Accrington

Swindon Town
55.6%
Draw
44.4%
Accrington Stanley
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
Second Round
Accrington
2-2
Swindon
(Aggregate 2-2 | Accrington win 4-1 on penalties)
Walton (17', 90+1')
Conneely (117')
Hall (45+2'), Cotterill (70')
Kilkenny (25')
Butterworth (41')
> Preview
Nov 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
Accrington
2-2
Swindon
Aljofree (16'), Rawson (30')
Woods (77'), Costelloe (90')
Smith (11'), Butterworth (69')
Butterworth (36'), McGregor (53'), Glatzel (59'), Delaney (65')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Swindon
1-2
Accrington
Drinan (47')
McEachran (30'), Blake-Tracy (59')
Nolan (57' pen.), Henderson (82')
Leigh (14'), Mellor (90')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Accrington
3-4
Swindon
Adedoyin (90+2'), Hills (90+7', 90+10')
Bagueloc'rich (6'), McCracken (17'), Conneely (18'), Hills (29'), Longelo-Mbule (33'), Lowe (87')
Coleman (7')
Kemp (17' pen.), Young (31'), Khan (60'), Austin (89')
Kemp (25'), Young (49')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Accrington
2-1
Swindon
Charles (11'), Bishop (44')
Hughes (31'), Butcher (45+2'), Burgess (59')
Pitman (30')