League Two

League Two | Gameweek 26

Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
5 - 0
Newport

O'Brien-Whitmarsh (4', 53'), Mooney (15', 75'), Walton (26')
Rawson (23'), Ward (89')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Kamwa (37'), Spellman (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

Last Game: Barrow 2-0 Accrington
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Chesterfield 2-1 Newport
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 51.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 22.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Newport County
51.7% ( 0.12)	26.08% ( -0.03)	22.21% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 45.78% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.85% (

0.03)

57.15% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.98% (

0.03)

78.01% (

-0.03)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.8% (

0.07)

22.19% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.39% (

0.1)

55.6% (

-0.1)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.84% (

-0.07)

41.15% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.31% (

-0.06)

77.69% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 51.68%

Newport County 22.22%

Draw 26.07%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 51.68%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.21% Total : 22.22%