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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.63%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Gillingham |
| 36.91% ( | 28.9% ( | 34.19% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.48% ( | 61.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.62% ( | 81.38% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.06% ( | 31.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.6% ( | 68.4% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.27% | 33.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.61% ( | 70.39% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 12.29% ( 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 2-0 @ 7.02% ( 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 3-2 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 36.91% | 1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0-0 @ 10.77% ( 2-2 @ 4.14% ( Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.89% | 0-1 @ 11.7% ( 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0-2 @ 6.36% ( 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 2-3 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.18% |