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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 38.26% ( | 25.58% ( | 36.16% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.69% ( | 48.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.54% ( | 70.46% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.2% ( | 24.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.63% ( | 59.37% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.04% ( | 25.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.03% ( | 60.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 2-0 @ 6.26% ( 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 3-0 @ 2.91% ( 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.26% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 3-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 8.68% ( 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0-2 @ 5.85% ( 1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 1-4 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 3.37% Total : 36.16% |