Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Wolfsburg
53.61% ( -0.34)	22.14% ( 0.06)	24.25% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 60.53% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.18% (

0.03)

38.82% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.87% (

0.04)

61.13% (

-0.04)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.46% (

-0.1)

14.54% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.42% (

-0.19)

42.57% (

0.19)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83% (

0.25)

29.16% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.89% (

0.31)

65.1% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 53.61%

Wolfsburg 24.25%

Draw 22.13%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Wolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.27% Total : 53.61%	1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.13%	1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.27% Total : 24.25%