Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 18.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.