Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 23

Feb 23, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
2 - 2
Heidenheim

Openda (45+2'), Sesko (64' pen.)
Baumgartner (6'), Orban (12'), Simons (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Honsak (6'), Pieringer (13' pen.)
Gimber (15'), Schoppner (67'), Keller (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Augsburg 0-0 RB Leipzig
Friday, February 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Heidenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Heidenheim 1-3 Copenhagen
Thursday, February 20 at 5.45pm in Conference League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 18.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Heidenheim
61% ( 0.61)	20.32% ( -0.26)	18.68% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 58.5% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.34% (

0.65)

37.65% (

-0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.11% (

0.69)

59.89% (

-0.7)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.04% (

0.37)

11.95% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.66% (

0.78)

37.33% (

-0.79)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.43% (

0.02)

33.56% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.79% (

0.02)

70.2% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 61%

Heidenheim 18.68%

Draw 20.32%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Heidenheim
2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 7% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.06) Other @ 4.15% Total : 61%	1-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.32%	1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 18.68%