Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.