Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 19

Jan 24, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

VOLKSWAGEN ARENA

Wolfsburg
2 - 2
Holstein Kiel

Wimmer (50'), Wind (53')
Wimmer (60'), Maehle (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Zec (13'), Skrzybski (80')
Zec (23'), Pichler (90+4'), Arp (90+2'), Remberg (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Bayern 3-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, January 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, January 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Holstein Kiel
47.64% ( -0.07)	22.92% ( 0.04)	29.43% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 62.6% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.8% (

-0.18)

38.2% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.52% (

-0.19)

60.47% (

0.19)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.62% (

-0.09)

16.37% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.99% (

-0.17)

46% (

0.17)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.86% (

-0.07)

25.14% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.15% (

-0.1)

59.85% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 47.64%

Holstein Kiel 29.43%

Draw 22.91%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.56% Total : 47.64%	1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.91%	1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.43%