Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 55.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 20.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Bahia
55.7% ( -2.41)	23.57% ( 1.05)	20.72% ( 1.36)

Both teams to score 51.06% (

-1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.84% (

-2.59)

49.16% (

2.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.77% (

-2.38)

71.23% (

2.38)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.51% (

-1.76)

17.48% (

1.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.02% (

-3.16)

47.98% (

3.16)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.88% (

-0.06)

38.12% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.11% (

-0.05)

74.88% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Gremio 55.7%

Bahia 20.72%

Draw 23.57%

Gremio	Draw	Bahia
1-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.55) 2-0 @ 10.13% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.42) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.35) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.34) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.62% Total : 55.7%	1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.52) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.68) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.57%	0-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.65) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.54% Total : 20.72%