Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 66.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 13.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Bahia
66.12% ( 1.02)	20.15% ( -0.48)	13.72% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 47.67% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.63% (

0.9)

46.36% (

-0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.35% (

0.84)

68.65% (

-0.84)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.84% (

0.58)

13.15% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.16% (

1.17)

39.83% (

-1.17)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.89% (

-0.25)

45.11% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.97% (

-0.2)

81.02% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 66.11%

Bahia 13.72%

Draw 20.15%

Flamengo	Draw	Bahia
2-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 12.03% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.82% Total : 66.11%	1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.15%	0-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.27% Total : 13.72%