Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 69.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 11.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.53%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.