Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 1, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Leonidas Sodre de Castro
Bahia

Paysandu
0 - 1
Bahia


Patric (36'), Patric (36'), de Vargas (81'), de Vargas (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Oliveira Souza (43' pen., 43' pen.)
Acevedo (11'), Acevedo (11'), Erick (87'), Erick (87')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Paysandu and Bahia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paysandu

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Paysandu 1-1 CRB (3-5 pen.)
Wednesday, February 19 at 10.15pm in Copa do Brasil
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Bahia

All competitions
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-1 Bahia
Sunday, April 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paysandu win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paysandu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
PaysanduDrawBahia
42.32% (0.424 0.42)26.47% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)31.21% (-0.366 -0.37)
Both teams to score 51.53% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.89% (0.096000000000004 0.1)53.1% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.32% (0.082999999999998 0.08)74.68% (-0.077999999999989 -0.08)
Paysandu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16% (0.262 0.26)24.84% (-0.257 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.57% (0.361 0.36)59.43% (-0.356 -0.36)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56% (-0.205 -0.2)31.44% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18% (-0.24 -0.24)67.81% (0.244 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Paysandu 42.31%
    Bahia 31.21%
    Draw 26.46%
PaysanduDrawBahia
1-0 @ 10.87% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.57% (0.085 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 42.31%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.81% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 9.04% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.23% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 31.21%

rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!