Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paysandu win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paysandu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.