Copa do Brasil
May 1, 2025 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Leonidas Sodre de Castro
  • Patric 36' yellowcard
  • Patric 36' yellowcard
  • Matheus de Vargas 81' yellowcard
  • Matheus de Vargas 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Acevedo 11'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Acevedo 11'
  • goal Cauly Oliveira Souza 43'
  • goal Cauly Oliveira Souza 43'
  • yellowcard Erick 87'
  • yellowcard Erick 87'

Paysandu vs Bahia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Paysandu

All competitions

Bahia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paysandu win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paysandu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result

Paysandu 42.32% (+0.43)
Draw 26.47% (-0.06)
Bahia 31.21% (-0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.53% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.89% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 53.1% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 25.32% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 74.68% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 11.56% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 88.44% (-0.05)

Paysandu Goals

Over 0.5 75.16% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 24.84% (-0.26)
Over 1.5 40.57% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 59.43% (-0.36)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 68.56% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 31.44% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 32.18% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 67.81% (+0.25)

Score analysis

Paysandu 42.31%
Draw 26.46%
Bahia 31.21%
Paysandu
1-0 @ 10.87% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.76% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.57% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.07% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 3.52% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.36% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.23% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 42.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.81% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 26.46%
Bahia
0-1 @ 9.04% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 5.23% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 31.21%