Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 66.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 12.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.73%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for an Atletico Nacional win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Atletico Nacional
66.04% ( -1.64)	21.28% ( 0.78)	12.67% ( 0.86)

Both teams to score 41.54% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.9% (

-1.15)

53.1% (

1.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.32% (

-0.98)

74.67% (

0.98)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.68% (

-0.9)

15.32% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.93% (

-1.7)

44.06% (

1.7)

Atletico Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.06% (

0.76)

50.94% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.7% (

0.51)

85.3% (

-0.51)

Score Analysis

Bahia 66.04%

Atletico Nacional 12.67%

Draw 21.28%

Bahia	Draw	Atletico Nacional
1-0 @ 14.64% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 13.73% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.44) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.34) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.18) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.89% Total : 66.04%	1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.28%	0-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.3% Total : 12.67%