Copa Libertadores
Apr 25, 2025 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Santiago Ramos Mingo 11' yellowcard
  • Santiago Ramos Mingo 11' yellowcard
  • Willian Jose 71' goal
  • Willian Jose 71' goal
  • yellowcard Jorman Campuzano 10'
  • yellowcard Jorman Campuzano 10'

Bahia vs Atletico Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 9, 2025 11.00pm
Nacional 0 - 1 Bahia

Atletico Nacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 10, 2025 11.00pm
Internacional 3 - 0 Atletico Nacional

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 66.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 12.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.73%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for an Atletico Nacional win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match.

Result

Bahia 66.04% (-1.65)
Draw 21.28% (+0.79)
Atletico Nacional 12.67% (+0.86)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.54% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.9% (-1.15)
Under 2.5 53.1% (+1.15)
Over 3.5 25.32% (-0.99)
Under 3.5 74.67% (+0.99)
Over 4.5 11.56% (-0.64)
Under 4.5 88.43% (+0.64)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 84.68% (-0.90)
Under 0.5 15.32% (+0.90)
Over 1.5 55.93% (-1.71)
Under 1.5 44.06% (+1.71)

Atletico Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 49.06% (+0.76)
Under 0.5 50.94% (-0.77)
Over 1.5 14.7% (+0.51)
Under 1.5 85.3% (-0.51)

Score analysis

Bahia 66.04%
Draw 21.28%
Atletico Nacional 12.67%
Bahia
1-0 @ 14.64% (+0.21)
2-0 @ 13.73% (-0.25)
2-1 @ 9.26% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 8.59% (-0.44)
3-1 @ 5.79% (-0.16)
4-0 @ 4.03% (-0.34)
4-1 @ 2.72% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.51% (-0.19)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 66.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.88% (+0.35)
0-0 @ 7.81% (+0.35)
2-2 @ 3.12% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 21.28%
Atletico Nacional
0-1 @ 5.27% (+0.35)
1-2 @ 3.33% (+0.19)
0-2 @ 1.78% (+0.16)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 12.67%