Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 71.31%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 9.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.77%) and 3-0 (10.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Nacional
71.31% ( -0.01)	19% ( 0)	9.69% ( 0)

Both teams to score 38.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.65% (

-0.01)

51.35% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.83% (

-0.01)

73.17% (

0.01)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.85% (

-0.01)

13.14% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.18% (

-0.01)

39.81% (

0.01)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.59% (

55.4% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.88% (

88.12% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Bahia 71.3%

Nacional 9.69%

Draw 19%

Bahia	Draw	Nacional
2-0 @ 14.99% 1-0 @ 14.77% 3-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.15% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.09% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.77% 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 71.3%	1-1 @ 8.73% ( 0) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.61% Other @ 0.38% Total : 19%	0-1 @ 4.3% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.58% 0-2 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 9.69%