Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
14
-
Jeremia Recoba
20'
-
Gonzalo Petit Abad
27'
-
Eduardo Vargas
48'
-
Diego Herazo
80'
-
Lucas Morales
82'
-
Lucas Martin Villalba Jaume
85'
-
Mauro Villar
17'
-
Carlos Emanuel Cuello Azambuya
51'
-
Facundo Silvestre
74'
Nacional vs Cerro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 17.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
Result
Nacional
59%
▼
(-1.31)
Draw
23.68%
▲
(+0.36)
Cerro
17.32%
▲
(+0.95)
Both Teams to Score:
45.2%
▲
(+0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.95%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 2.5
54.05%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
24.52%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 3.5
75.48%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 4.5
11.05%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 4.5
88.94%
▼
(-0.04)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
81.92%
▼
(-0.45)
Under 0.5
18.07%
▲
(+0.45)
Over 1.5
51%
▼
(-0.77)
Under 1.5
48.99%
▲
(+0.77)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5
55.17%
▲
(+1.26)
Under 0.5
44.83%
▼
(-1.26)
Over 1.5
19.2%
▲
(+0.99)
Under 1.5
80.8%
▼
(-0.99)
Score analysis
Nacional
59%
Draw
23.67%
Cerro
17.32%
Nacional
1-0
@
13.86%
▼
(-0.24)
2-0 @ 11.85% ▼ (-0.39)
2-1 @ 9.51% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.32)
3-1 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.19)
4-1 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 59%
2-0 @ 11.85% ▼ (-0.39)
2-1 @ 9.51% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.32)
3-1 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.19)
4-1 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 59%
Draw
1-1
@
11.12%
▲
(+0.20)
0-0 @ 8.1% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 23.67%
0-0 @ 8.1% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 23.67%
Cerro
0-1
@
6.5%
▲
(+0.21)
1-2 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.23)
0-2 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-93.78)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 17.32%
1-2 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.23)
0-2 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-93.78)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 17.32%
Head to Head
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
5
-
Leandro Lozano
10'
-
Yonatan Rodriguez
17'
-
Federico Martinez
33'
-
Emmanuel Gigliotti
70'
-
Lucas Rodriguez
12'
-
Lucas Rodriguez
25'
-
Jairo Coronel
31'
-
Cristhian Tizon
43'
-
Mathias Abero
51'
-
Ramiro Fernandez
67'