Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 23, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Beira-Rio

Internacional
3 - 3
Nacional

Patrick (45+1' pen., 45+1' pen.), Bernabei (67', 67'), Fernando (73', 73')
Valencia (28'), Valencia (28'), Borre (48'), Borre (48'), Wesley (63'), Wesley (63'), Gabriel (65'), Gabriel (65')

FT(HT: 2-6)

Millan (6', 6'), Boggio (10', 10'), Coates (43', 43')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Internacional and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Internacional

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Gremio 1-1 Internacional
Sunday, April 20 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Nacional

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Miramar Misiones 1-3 Nacional
Friday, April 18 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 13.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.7%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Internacional	Draw	Nacional
65.58% ( 0.01)	20.78% ( -0.01)	13.63% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 45.49% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.83% (

0.01)

49.17% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.76% (

0.01)

71.23% (

-0.02)

Internacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.8% (

0.01)

14.19% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.09% (

0.02)

41.9% (

-0.02)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.01% (

-0)

46.98% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.52% (

-0)

82.47% (

Score Analysis

Internacional 65.56%

Nacional 13.63%

Draw 20.78%

Internacional	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 13.01% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.7% 2-1 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 8.27% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.04% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 65.56%	1-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.63% Other @ 0.65% Total : 20.78%	0-1 @ 5.04% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.71% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.9% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.13% Total : 13.63%