Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13

Apr 27, 2025 at 12.15am UK

Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
3 - 1
Wanderers

Lopez (45+1', 45+1', 51', 51'), Boggio (90+5', 90+5')
Oliva (29'), Oliva (29'), Lopez (40'), Lopez (40')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Rivero (90+4' pen., 90+4' pen.)
Garcia (29'), Garcia (29'), Zazpe (39'), Zazpe (39')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Montevideo Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

Uruguayan Primera Division

Last Game: Internacional 3-3 Nacional
Wednesday, April 23 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Wanderers 1-2 Penarol
Saturday, April 19 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 17.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
59.66% ( -0.01)	23.16% ( 0.01)	17.17%

Both teams to score 46.35% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.65% (

-0.02)

52.34% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.96% (

-0.02)

74.03% (

0.02)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.78% (

-0.01)

17.22% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.49% (

-0.02)

47.51% (

0.02)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.99% (

-0.01)

44% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.87% (

-0.01)

80.12% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Nacional 59.65%

Montevideo Wanderers 17.17%

Draw 23.16%

Nacional	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 13.32% 2-0 @ 11.72% 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.88% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 59.65%	1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 23.16%	0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 1.6% Total : 17.17%