Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Apr 27, 2025 12.15am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Christian Oliva 29' yellowcard
  • Christian Oliva 29' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lopez 40' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lopez 40' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Lopez 45'+1' goal
  • Nicolas Lopez 45'+1' goal
  • Nicolas Lopez 51' goal
  • Nicolas Lopez 51' goal
  • Luciano Boggio 90'+5' goal
  • Luciano Boggio 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Emiliano Garcia 29'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Garcia 29'
  • yellowcard Leandro Zazpe 39'
  • yellowcard Leandro Zazpe 39'
  • goal Rodrigo Rivero 90'+4'
  • goal Rodrigo Rivero 90'+4'

Nacional vs Montevideo Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 18, 2025 8.00pm
Miramar Misiones 1 - 3 Nacional
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Nicolas Lopez

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 19, 2025 10.30pm
Wanderers 1 - 2 Penarol
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Rodrigo Rivero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 17.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result

Nacional 59.66% (-0.01)
Draw 23.16% (+0.01)
Montevideo Wanderers 17.17%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.35% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.65% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 52.34% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 25.96% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 74.03% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 11.97% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 88.02% (+0.02)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 82.78% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 17.22% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 52.49% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 47.51% (+0.02)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 55.99% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 44% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 19.87% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 80.12% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Nacional 59.65%
Draw 23.16%
Montevideo Wanderers 17.17%
Nacional
1-0 @ 13.32%
2-0 @ 11.72%
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.88% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 59.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.94% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.58% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.95% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 23.16%
Montevideo Wanderers
0-1 @ 6.22% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.49% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.55% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 17.17%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Sep 15, 2024 11.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
  • Paulo Lima 27' yellowcard
  • Mario Risso 51' yellowcard
  • goal Nicolas Lopez 4'
  • yellowcard Leandro Lozano 59'
  • goal Gaston Gonzalez 70'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Mar 2, 2024 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Osinachi Ebere 11' goal
  • Emiliano Velazquez 53' yellowcard
  • Felipe Cairus 77' goal
  • Ruben Bentancourt 87' goal
  • yellowcard Matias Fonseca 44'
  • yellowcard Francisco Cerro 44'
  • yellowcard Mario Risso 83'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Nov 26, 2023 10.30pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Gonzalo Carneiro 1' goal
  • Ignacio Ramirez 25' goal
  • Ignacio Ramirez 42' goal
  • Yonatan Rodriguez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Yonatan Rodriguez 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Leandro Lozano 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Fonseca 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Camargo 75'
  • yellowcard Juan Acosta 84'
  • goal Nicolas Ferreira 89'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Apr 25, 2023 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
  • goal Diego Polenta 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Aug 20, 2022 10.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Felipe Carballo 15' goal
  • Leandro Lozano 56' yellowcard
  • Felipe Carballo 59' goal
  • Sergio Rochet 88' yellowcard
  • Diego Rodriguez 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian Bravo 22'
  • yellowcard Juan Acosta 44'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Wagner 70'
  • yellowcard Matias Castro 90'
  • yellowcard Juan Aguirre 90'+3'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Mar 20, 2022 10.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
  • Christian Bravo 22' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Lacerda 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Hernan Rivero 77' goal
  • Diego Hernandez 90' goal
  • Diego Hernandez 90'+1' redcard
  • 90'+15' redcard
  • 90'+16' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Castro 60'
  • goal Alex Castro 68'
  • yellowcard Yonatan Rodriguez 86'
  • yellowcard Leo Coelho 89'
  • yellowcard 90'
  • redcard Yonatan Rodriguez 90'+8'
  • redcard Diego Zabala 90'+8'
  • goal Franco Fagundez 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Jose Luis Rodriguez 90'+11'